NBA Analysis Report
Generated by the hugheslab.tech Analytics Engine
San Antonio Spurs (32-12) @ Boston Celtics (28-15)
Report Timestamp: 2026-01-10 10:42:23
Market Intelligence
Market Signal
Luke Kornet returns to Boston having made a "big impact" for the Spurs, while Jaylen Brown looks to validate his claim as the NBA's premier two-way player.
Tactical Edge
The Spurs bring momentum from a 107-91 victory over the Lakers. While the Celtics are solidified as "for real" in power rankings, San Antonio benefits from the resurgence of Kornet against his former squad.
The Bottom Line
Boston remains an elite title contender, but Kornet's insider knowledge provides the Spurs a significant scouting advantage.
🔬 Lab Intel & Anomalies
Hustle_Lab • Gem_Finder
Hustle Watch: Luke Kornet (San Antonio Spurs) had 8.0 Hustle Score in only 21:11 mins.
Referee_Intel • Crew_Tendency
Ref Crew: 🏠 Home Cooking. Avg Fouls: 41.8 (+0.6 vs Lg).
Totals_Lab • Fair_Value
True Total: 227.3 (Base 230.4 + Ref +0.8 + Inj -3.8).
Totals_Lab • Market_Edge
Total Edge: UNDER 230.5 (Proj 227.3). Gap: 3.2.
🏥 Injury Report
| Name | Team | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Minott | Boston Celtics | Game Time Decision | Ankle |
| Jayson Tatum | Boston Celtics | Expected to be out until at least Apr 1 | Achilles |
| Julian Champagnie | San Antonio Spurs | Game Time Decision | Back |
| Devin Vassell | San Antonio Spurs | Expected to be out until at least Jan 11 | Thigh |
Referee Crew Analysis
| GameID | Matchup | Crew | Avg_Fouls | Fouls_vs_Avg | Home_Win_Pct | Home_Margin | Crew_Tags |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22500545 | San Antonio Spurs @ Boston Celtics | Curtis Blair, Nick Buchert, Jason Goldenberg | 41.8 | 0.63 | 0.646 | 5.13 | 🏠 Home Cooking |
Model Consensus & EV Analysis
| Game | Random Forest Pick | XGBoost Pick | Neural Net Pick | Neural Net Spread | Market Pick (Odds) | Market Prob | Consensus | Signal | +EV | Recommendation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs @ Boston Celtics | SAS (72.0%) | SAS (85.2%) | BOS (50.4%) | BOS by 0.2 | SAS (-118) | 0.541284 | SAS (2/3) | Strong Signal | 0.451732 | Bet SAS |
🎯 Sniper Prop Targets (>55%)
| Player | Prop | Line | Proj | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Champagnie | Rebounds | 5.5 | 7.6 | 84.0% |
| Luke Kornet | Pts + Rebs + Asts | 14.5 | 19.7 | 81.6% |
| Luke Kornet | Assists | 1.5 | 2.4 | 76.2% |
| Luke Kornet | Points | 6.5 | 10.0 | 76.1% |
| Anfernee Simons | Points | 12.5 | 16.4 | 75.7% |
| Anfernee Simons | Pts + Rebs + Asts | 17.5 | 22.0 | 74.2% |
| Neemias Queta | Points | 8.5 | 10.4 | 69.4% |
| Victor Wembanyama | Pts + Rebs + Asts | 32.5 | 36.6 | 67.5% |
| De'Aaron Fox | Rebounds | 3.5 | 4.3 | 67.4% |
| Victor Wembanyama | Points | 20.5 | 23.6 | 67.4% |
| Anfernee Simons | Rebounds | 2.5 | 3.2 | 67.3% |
| Julian Champagnie | Pts + Rebs + Asts | 18.5 | 23.0 | 67.3% |
| Jaylen Brown | Pts + Rebs + Asts | 40.5 | 43.6 | 67.3% |
| Jaylen Brown | Points | 28.5 | 31.6 | 65.7% |
| Luke Kornet | Rebounds | 6.5 | 7.3 | 65.5% |
| Harrison Barnes | Assists | 1.5 | 2.2 | 64.7% |
| Derrick White | Rebounds | 4.5 | 5.2 | 64.7% |
| Harrison Barnes | Rebounds | 2.5 | 3.1 | 64.0% |
| Payton Pritchard | Rebounds | 4.5 | 5.0 | 62.8% |
| Neemias Queta | Pts + Rebs + Asts | 18.5 | 20.6 | 62.7% |
| Victor Wembanyama | Rebounds | 9.5 | 10.5 | 62.0% |
| Derrick White | Assists | 5.5 | 6.0 | 61.2% |
| Payton Pritchard | Pts + Rebs + Asts | 25.5 | 28.2 | 61.1% |
| Julian Champagnie | Points | 11.5 | 13.9 | 60.7% |
| Derrick White | Pts + Rebs + Asts | 28.5 | 30.9 | 60.6% |
| Jaylen Brown | Assists | 4.5 | 5.1 | 60.2% |
Visual Intelligence
Team Statistical Fingerprint
Possession Advantage Breakdown
